Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 17.541175 20.425103 23.583858 27.293562 31.523823 36.189999 41.719300
2024-10-20 12.335081 16.137370 20.744759 26.705693 34.176992 43.191826 54.848784
2024-10-27 9.005857 12.951473 18.136842 25.378278 35.144618 47.762351 65.182645
2024-11-03 7.792152 12.092959 18.123066 27.065665 39.831278 57.209305 82.419824
2024-11-10 7.051489 11.685032 18.550860 29.262659 45.296315 68.086428 102.515706
2024-11-17 6.008423 10.600896 17.772539 29.507863 47.865871 75.019627 117.590131
2024-11-24 5.047844 9.455812 16.690615 29.071595 49.251329 80.216449 130.438701
2024-12-01 4.200201 8.337929 15.462279 28.186098 49.744949 83.985235 141.303054
2024-12-08 3.642315 7.628234 14.799274 28.113539 51.476080 89.742761 155.628181
2024-12-15 3.216551 7.086633 14.342727 28.311820 53.630389 96.293624 171.663096
2024-12-22 2.626202 6.115019 12.955849 26.649018 52.341291 96.956681 177.944322
2024-12-29 2.412281 5.877384 12.924127 27.481164 55.563817 105.515388 198.165743
2025-01-05 2.250191 5.749272 13.140876 28.916872 60.233601 117.323359 225.564946
2025-01-12 1.914814 5.174727 12.375222 28.338650 61.092527 122.512768 241.927745
2025-01-19 1.569801 4.502001 11.289546 26.945733 60.187085 124.358088 252.368318
2025-01-26 1.500320 4.496864 11.677576 28.728587 65.844090 139.015648 287.707303
2025-02-02 1.467530 4.580312 12.278838 31.047321 72.829479 156.770847 330.196992
2025-02-09 1.313880 4.304836 11.985973 31.306092 75.470802 166.186423 357.273945
2025-02-16 1.143027 3.941795 11.418585 30.845823 76.488706 172.402017 378.487894
2025-02-23 0.974702 3.545129 10.697470 29.911477 76.331497 176.158535 394.995367
2025-03-02 0.865550 3.304435 10.345399 29.834909 78.108873 184.076133 420.528833
2025-03-09 0.780467 3.120972 10.118711 30.044144 80.567307 193.622020 450.092832
2025-03-16 0.640506 2.714427 9.191222 28.289239 78.127885 192.299972 456.571102